Monday, January 12, 2009

New Economic Base

I hope I don't offend to many people by saying this, but I think Nevada and Wyoming are pretty worthless.
By that I mean that Nevada and Wyoming don't have a whole lot of revenue generated, except by whores, gambling and sheep. Not that I necessarily have anything against those industries, but I think that there is an underutilized resource, energy.
Wyoming is amazingly windy and Nevada has a whole lot of sunny deserts. I think that an investment in solar and wind farms in areas with little population could be a major boon in times of economic uncertainty, and all other times.
I was watching a show about Germany and there strategy for becoming more energy independent. The legislature passed a bill that guaranteed people who put energy into the grid twice the money that it costs to take out of the grid. So for anyone who wanted to invest in putting solar or wind generators on their houses they would start making a profit in just a few years, and continue making money until 2020 or so when the bills life will end. The program showed solar panels everywhere, just off the highways, on houses, and in pasture land with sheep grazing in between the panels.
I don't know what the problems would be with transmission, but with the new president and the money that he wants to pump into "green" jobs the infrastructure could be built.

I just think that now would be a good time to change the foundations of our economy, since it's broken. I was talking to an economist friend of mine and she said that 70% of our economy depends on internal consumer spending. With that much of our economy based in one sector it anything that disrupts the consumption hurts a lot. A more diversified economy seems to make sense, and why not diversify in part with energy exports.

It just works on so many levels.

Monday, December 22, 2008

Economic is Everything

I wish that I had studied economics.

For the past year or two I have been thinking that economics is the root cause of all decisions. Not economics in the normal sense of transactions involving money, but rather economics as always trying to obtain increase. Now this increase could be in prestige, influence, knowledge, faith, or anything which an individual values.

The theory is that for every type of situation (with kids, with spouse, family, work, school, church, bar, whatever) a person has a hierarchy of values; for example when I am at school my values, are getting information, socializing, grades, and networking in that order. However, when at home my values shift to making wife happy, making kids happy, sleeping in that order.
I think that whenever a decision needs to be made there is a mental process of comparing the foreseeable results of a decision in the view of how you will gain with respect to the values of the situation. So at home I am faced with a decision of helping a child play a game or helping my wife cook dinner, this one is easy because I can help the child increasing the child's happiness which in turn increases my wife's happiness and I acted in accordance with my top two values generating good feeling for me. When I am at work however, and a child needs help I ignore it, or spend little time or effort on the problem because my values are different and a child's happiness is much farther down on the list than production. 

The interesting part of this theory comes when two different value sets that are in opposition come into contact. The hypothetical would be in a business setting where the top value is acquisition of wealth and an opportunity comes along to greatly increase wealth but is illegal. This then effects not only the work value system but also potentially social values (increased prestige if it works, or shunning if it fails), religious/moral values (right versus wrong) and possibly others. Before a decision can be made a person must determine which values have the highest priority and which value set will generate the greatest return on the decision made.

I thought that with this system a researcher could figure out the values of individuals in a way that you could begin to determine how a person will act in any given situation. The problem is that the whole premise rests on circular logic;

A person acts in a certain way because of the value set in play during certain situations.
How do you know what they value?
Because of how they acted. 
Why did the person act that way? 
Because of their values......

but it is still fun to think about.

Monday, December 15, 2008

Us vs. Them

Here is another question that I have been wondering about for a year or two; how do groups form and maintain a common identity, or distinguish between "us" and "them".

I read a book for school dealing with the termination phase of U.S. Indian relations. In the book the govt. wanted to terminate the special status of American Indians by paying off outstanding debts. The legislative leader was a senator from Utah, and he wanted to show how well the system worked on the Utah Indians. The Ute reservation in Utah had three different Ute tribes, two from Colorado, and one from Utah. As the Utes saw the writing on the wall they made a strategic move in deciding who was "us". They decided that anyone of the tribe with 50% Ute blood or less would be considered them, or other. This decision affected the Utah Utes the most as they had interbred more than the other Ute tribes. When the termination order came around the Ute leadership struck a deal that only those "other" Utes would be terminated and the rest would maintain their Indian status.

To me this seems like a logical and deliberate step in the definition of "us" for economic and political reasons, and I'm OK with that. I wonder if there is ever a time when those are not the reasons why we define groups the way we do.

During the Cold War the us/them mentality was a common propagandistic tool, just as it was in WWII, WWI, and anytime a group of people feel the need to be mobilized against another.
I think that part of this might come out of the western religious traditions which are all dualistic in nature, and this spills over into all other thought processes.

Maybe that is false, because even in non-dualistic traditions the us/them issue arises. I have also heard that when ever there are more than three or four people in close proximity an us/them situation will develop. I listened to a thing on the bio-dome experiment and although all the people in there were scientists and friends groups formed that were antagonist towards each other. 

This is not to say that the groups aren't fluid, change in who is in or out can happen quite rapidly and also depends on the circumstances. If you look at the typical family model there are levels of us/them: 
  1. my wife and children 
  2. my parents and siblings 
  3. parents and siblings in-law 
  4. grandparent, aunts, uncles and cousins
  5. grandparents, aunts, uncles, and cousins in-law
Really I think that it all has to do with economics, not just economics of money, but economics writ large, of trading or working in someway for something be it money, status, information, but that is another post.

Tuesday, December 2, 2008

Is reality consensus driven

Over the past couple of years my Grandfather has gone crazy. At least that is what I say when the subject comes up, but there is much more to it than that.
The real issue is that my Grandfather now perceives certain aspects of his current situation in a different light then the majority of people around him.
Now there are many things that people perceive differently every day, from words spoken, to the precise hue of a color. So what is the "problem" with my grandfather?
As I see it the problem is that his view is just different enough to cause problems with the rest of society, and has far ranging effects on those around him.
The idea of perception influencing reality has been around for a long time and has its own brach of philosophy called metaphysics which studies the nature of reality.
Doctors know about the phenomena and refer to it as the placebo effect.
This difference in perception is also one of the ways you can tell that a person is very well encultureated, because they can not perceive the world in anyway other then how they have been taught.
That being said, it seems that reality is really consensus driven; as long as the majority of people perceive things in mostly similar ways then there is no problem. However, when the is a perception that falls outside of the culturally appropriate boundaries the person is called crazy and in our society often institutionalized. 
This may seems as unfair, because who is to say that one perception is more valid than another? But if there was no unifying thread the only reality I can see would be chaos, but that is just my own perception.


Friday, November 21, 2008

Help Please

At school we have been working on a fabulous project. There is a daycare called Neighborhood House in Salt Lake that provides daycare for children and disabled adults for low income families. A number of years ago they acquired an acre and a half of land in-between their exisiting property and the Jordan River. It has been vacant, growing very good thistles for years, but it is now time for a change.

Our graduate workshop was asked to develop some plans to use this land. We were asked to try and make a spot for the community to enjoy while making the space work with Neighborhood House's existing program.

We talked with the staff, the kids, the adult clients, potential funders, and people from the community to figure out what should be on the site. In the end each student (all five of us) came up with our own design based on the input from our earlier meetings.

All of our designs are on this blog http://neighborhoodhousegardenproject.blogspot.com.

We need some help in figuring out the cost for some of our design elements, as well as general thoughts on the designs.

If you have a moment please look at the site and give us some feedback.

Thanks

Friday, November 14, 2008

I've been thinking about energy recently. The new administration has expressed a  desire to push forward with alternative energy and I think that it is a fabulous idea.
I have been wondering if certain areas could make alternative energy the basis of their economy, exporting it out to surrounding regions.

The area that I think about the most in this regard is Nevada (and parts of Wyoming). It seems to me that it would be the perfect place for large solar arrays, or wind farms. The place is desolate, with small farming towns, that really makes one wonder about the sanity of people who try and farm crops in the desert, or high plains. However the farming of energy, especially renewable energy would be ideal for boosting the local, and regional economy and providing for more secure and stable national energy environment.

The only problem I can see with this plan is transmission. I don't know the best way to get the energy from the middle of nowhere to the more energy consumptive cities.

My other energy thought comes from a show I saw on a German policy, where the legislature provided people with twice the amount of money for putting into the energy grid than it cost to withdraw from the grid. Basically there was no way that you could not make money if you installed a windmill or solar panels. The images shown were of thousands of houses with solar panels on them, solar panels on the side of the major roads, and out in the range land with cattle and sheep grazing beneath them.

I though this was a great idea. The government provided the proper incentive for people to make an initial, completely safe investment. Then when the bills term expires the country is blanketed with a renewable energy source and is less dependent on the more volatile international energy market. All that and it's good for the environment.

Friday, November 7, 2008

Apocalypse 2012

So I watched part of a show the other night about various prophecies that foretold the end of the world. Among the things discussed were the oracle at Delphi, the prophecies of Nostradamus, the I Ching, and the Mayan calendar.  Most of the show was dumb, (by which I mean overly speculative and reading way to much into the texts) but there was an interesting point that was brought up. We credit the ancient people with setting the ground work for modern civilization, but deny any place in our own cosmology for their belief in non-scientific ways of knowing. Having a background in anthropology, archaeology, and history it still suprises me how often we assume that our knowledge is greater than those people who came before us. I read an article in the NY times a year ago about how a pattern on a mosque used mathematics so advanced that our scholars only figured it out a few years ago.
The people in the past were not any less smart then we are now, but working with different information and with a different lens for sifting through the information that they had.

This ties into a problem I have with a lot of adults, and treating kids like they are stupid. I remember offering up ideas as a child and getting derided solely on the basis of my youth. No I am not saying that my ideas were great, or even right, but if they weren't right it was most likely because I lacked sufficient information to come to a "correct" conclusion. Now that I am an adult I get all sorts of people to listen to me, but my thought process hasn't changed much if at all from when I was younger.

I guess that the point of this is that maybe the ancients (or kids) have a lot more to offer then we really give them credit for. Being adults we are indoctrinated by culture and educational disciplines to see things in a certain way and ignore other potentially valid information. Maybe if we take a step away from what is "appropriate" we will better understand our world.